Data meets politics: Resources for government affairs professionals

Will Schrepferman

GovPredict: Electoral College Objectors Set to Lose Millions from Corporate PACs
GovPredict: Electoral College Objectors Set to Lose Millions from Corporate PACs

Introduction

In recent days, dozens of companies and trade associations have announced that they will be halting PAC donations to members of Congress who objected to the certification of Electoral College results. As of January 12th, reporting from The Hill, Axios, and Forbes indicates that the following companies have halted, paused, or are reviewing their PAC donations to objectors:

Facebook Ads Don’t Turn Out Voters, They Turn Out Donors
Facebook Ads Don’t Turn Out Voters, They Turn Out Donors

Introduction

In a previous article, GovPredict analyzed presidential campaign spending on Facebook ads. We found that, while the Trump campaign’s ads were far more effective than the Biden campaign’s, they did not lead to voter turnout.

Trump’s Facebook Advantage Failed To Deliver Voter Turnout
Trump’s Facebook Advantage Failed To Deliver Voter Turnout

The Trump campaign’s Facebook ads were 30% more effective than Biden’s when comparing dollars spent and ads seen. Despite this massive advantage, the ads did not result in a Trump victory. In several swing states, Trump’s ad advantage did not...

GovPredict: Who Will Win Two Key State Legislatures This November
GovPredict: Who Will Win Two Key State Legislatures This November

Introduction

As the 2020 election unfolds, plenty of predictions have been made about who will win big federal elections. However, little attention has been paid to key races further down the ballot: namely, state legislatures. GovPredict used...

Will Policy Follow Protests? How State Governments Are Responding to the Black Lives Matter Movement
Will Policy Follow Protests? How State Governments Are Responding to the Black Lives Matter Movement

The death of George Floyd on May 25, 2020, was the catalyst to a summer of protest and political action. After months where millions of Americans have taken (and continue to take) to the street as part of the Black Lives Matter movement, the...

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